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What Is Bed Bath & Beyond's Fair Value?

Much of this year's stock decline came after its disappointing fiscal 2018 guidance . In addition, the company's profits have also declined in recent quarters, in large part due to extensive coupon usage. Going forward, we expect the declining trend in Bed Bath & Beyond's profitability to continue in the near term. This is because the company is trying to remodel both its online and offline store formats at the same time -  including redesigning stores, spending on its loyalty program, revamping its supply chain and increasing its shipping costs in order to catch up with other online retailers - which could result in a further decline in margins in fiscal 2018. We have an $18 price estimate for Bed Bath & Beyond's stock , which is slightly below the current market price. We have also created an interactive dashboard on what Bed Bath & Beyond is really worth , which details our key forecasts and estimates for the company. You can modify the interactive charts in this dashboard to gauge the impact that changes in key drivers for Bed Bath can have on our price estimate. We expect Bed Bath & Beyond to generate around $12.4 billion (relatively flat year-over-year) in revenues in 2018, and earnings of almost $300 million. Of the total expected revenues in 2018, we estimate $8.2 billion in the Bed Bath & Beyond business, almost $1.7 billion for the Christmas Tree Shops business, nearly $1.4 billion for the buybuy Baby business, and close to $1.1 billion in World Market business. Bed Bath & Beyond's gross margins continued to face pressure in the first quarter of 2018. The company's gross margin declined by approximately 150 basis points (bps), from 36.5% in Q1 2017 to 35% in Q1 2018.

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